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According to the latest 91Թ Index data, which tracks construction starts under £100m, an uptick across non-residential sectors points to a gradual recovery.

  • Starts on-sitedeclined 7%during the Index period, finishing23%below2025Levels.
  • Residential construction startsfell sharply,declining almost a quarteron the preceding three months,down42% against 2025 figures.
  • Non-residential project starts jumped 20% against the preceding three months to standamodest 8% up on a year ago.
  • Civilsstartsdeclined 33% against the preceding three months, falling37% against the previous year.

91Թ Index of construction starts to the end of May 2026

Overall, the value of work starting on site in the three months to May dropped 7% and by almost a quarter (-23%) compared to last year.

It shows thelandscaperemains distinctly overcast, with the Middle East conflict still in full swing (with little sign of an immediate resolution) and the Government distracted from its agenda by political infighting.Residential activityremainsfrigid,reflecting ongoing affordability constraints and reduced investor appetite.There appearsto belittle immediate appetiteamongst buyersto imply that this will change any time soon.

Simultaneously, civils work hasweakened considerably, withboth infrastructure and utilities contributing to the downturn.With the Government plagued by infighting and intrigue,there seemsto be limitedroom for updates on planned capital projects toindicatea short-term uplift.

However, an uptick in non-residential sectors implies that the playing field is becoming slightly less hostile for contractors and subcontractors working within many commercialverticals.Whilst the marketremainsfragile,these pockets of resilience suggest that a future recovery might not be as far off as it currently seems.

According to91Թ’sEconomic Director, Allan Wilen,“Construction marketsremainsubdued, with activity declining amid ongoing economic uncertainty.On the housebuilding front, developers continue to take a cautious stance, reassessing and rescheduling planned project starts in response to weakening demand and tighter financial conditions.

“Whilst strong growth in offices, alongside modest gains in retail, education and health, helped support non-residential starts during the three months to the latest period, this was insufficient to offset continued declines across residential and civil engineering activity.

Taking a closer look at the sector verticals…

Sector Analysis – Residential

Residential construction continues to slide, as if caught in a perpetual downward spiral.91Թ’sdata showsstartsfell24% during the Index period andplummeted42% against last year’s figures. 

Drilling down into the numbers, private housing construction starts dropped 28% against the preceding three months and nosedived 50% against 2025 levels. Social Housing performance also fell, albeit slightly less severely, decreasing 14% against the preceding three months and finishing 17% down on the previous year.

Sector Analysis – Non-Residential

The non-residential sector also posted some good numbers. Particularly, offices continued their winning streak as the consistently strongest performing vertical of H.1 2026, rocketing 111% during the Index period whilst leaping 57% above the previous year.

A number of high-profile projects helped support this substantial increase, including the £64 million partial demolition, recladding, and refurbishment of 48 Chiswell Street in Islington, London.

Industrial, which had been experiencing arelatively poorQ.2,witnesseda reversal of fortune, rising a healthy10% against the preceding three months. However,this was offset by a 10% reduction in value compared tothe previous year.

Offering asmallindicator ofgraduallyreturning consumer confidence,retailperformed well, up19% against the preceding three months to stand17% up against the previous year.If thatwasn’tenough to imply the public istentativelyputtingits hands back in its collective pocket,Hotel & Leisurestarts also rose9% against the preceding three monthsdespite finishing8% lower than a year ago.

There also appeared to be asmallburst of activity in the public sector, with Education experiencing arelativelyrobustperiod, rising13% against the preceding three months tofinishan impressive 40% uponthe previous year.Likewise, Health grew, climbing 8% over the preceding three months but ending 6% lower than the previous year.

Civilsfared particularly poorly, withwork starting on-site declining33% against the preceding three months, standing37%below 2025 levels. Taking a closer look into the associated sub-verticals,Infrastructure work starting on-sitefell11% against the preceding three months and declined by 33% on the previous year. Utilitiesplummeted49%during the Index period, dropping42%when compared to last year’s results.

Regional Outlook

Similar torecent editions of the Indexes, Londonperformed well,rising7%against the preceding three months to stand44% up against the previous year. A particularlystrong performancein officeconstructionhelped drive growth in the city, alongside a general uptick within other commercial and non-commercial verticals.

TheSouth Eastwas a mixed bag, rising45% against the preceding three months, yet finishing17% up on the previous year.Similarly,theEast of England increased slightly, up 4%during the Index period,butremained 34% below last year.

Elsewhere, performance was subdued. TheNorth Eastdeclined 5% quarter-on-quarter but was 7% above last year. Scotland was broadly stable, down 1% on the preceding threemonths and 24% year-on-year. Northern Ireland declined 13% against the preceding three months butstillremained55% above last year.

91Թ Index Residential Non-Residential Civil Engineering
Month Index % change y-o-y Index % change y-o-y Index % change y-o-y Index % change y-o-y
May-25 191.7 4% 266.8 11% 134.7 0% 207.3 -9%
Jun-25 193.1 8% 268.1 12% 136.7 14% 206.4 -16%
Jul-25 179.4 0% 243.1 -1% 134.8 14% 176.0 -23%
Aug-25 174.3 3% 227.2 2% 138.1 8% 167.8 -7%
Sep-25 176.9 1% 230.7 -1% 143.6 8% 155.9 -14%
Oct-25 177.0 6% 225.8 2% 148.3 15% 150.9 -5%
Nov-25 175.7 5% 222.2 -6% 149.5 26% 145.5 -6%
Dec-25 150.0 7% 188.6 -9% 130.5 28% 115.8 19%
Jan-26 159.1 4% 213.6 -9% 131.2 25% 112.2 -1%
Feb-26 164.0 8% 228.8 0% 133.0 23% 99.3 -9%
Mar-26 193.3 7% 264.9 3% 161.0 27% 113.1 -34%
Apr-26 212.1 16% 282.8 11% 187.4 45% 102.4 -46%
May-26 262.5 37% 352.3 32% 229.3 70% 131.0 -37%
Press Contact:
Allan Wilen
Economics Director
T: 01202 786760
E: allan.wilen@glenigan.com

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